http://romeocayabyab.com/political-polls-how-reliable-are-they/ Sun, 15 Jan 2012 17:23:48 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.1 http://romeocayabyab.com/political-polls-how-reliable-are-they/comment-page-1/#comment-478 Political Polls – How Reliable Are They? | The Filipino Australian Blogs Thu, 05 Aug 2010 15:33:00 +0000 http://romeocayabyab.com/?p=1349#comment-478 [...] Reprinted from A Matter of Sharing [...] [...] Reprinted from A Matter of Sharing [...]

]]> http://romeocayabyab.com/political-polls-how-reliable-are-they/comment-page-1/#comment-406 ed roa Fri, 12 Mar 2010 07:23:26 +0000 http://romeocayabyab.com/?p=1349#comment-406 Poll results influence voters to an undetermined degree. A candidate who is ahead in the polling gains support from the undecided voters' group. As you said nobody backs a loser and people will tend to join the winning group. This is known as the "bandwagon effect" which supposedly encourages voters to join the "winner's" voters group. This notion is one of the major reasons for results manipulation, mounting of fraudulent surveys, spurious interpretations (unfounded extrapolations) and selective publication of research results. Poll results influence voters to an undetermined degree. A candidate who is ahead in the polling gains support from the undecided voters’ group. As you said nobody backs a loser and people will tend to join the winning group. This is known as the “bandwagon effect” which supposedly encourages voters to join the “winner’s” voters group. This notion is one of the major reasons for results manipulation, mounting of fraudulent surveys, spurious interpretations (unfounded extrapolations) and selective publication of research results.

]]> http://romeocayabyab.com/political-polls-how-reliable-are-they/comment-page-1/#comment-405 Romy Cayabyab Fri, 12 Mar 2010 06:41:51 +0000 http://romeocayabyab.com/?p=1349#comment-405 Hi Ed > No doubt, the results of polls and surveys when applied to politics are almost always viewed as biased. And I would say the poll results, if aimed at forecasting the results of for example an election, may be self-fulfilling forecasts. After all, there are only very few people who would back a loser. Thanks for sharing your thoughts. - Romy Hi Ed > No doubt, the results of polls and surveys when applied to politics are almost always viewed as biased. And I would say the poll results, if aimed at forecasting the results of for example an election, may be self-fulfilling forecasts. After all, there are only very few people who would back a loser. Thanks for sharing your thoughts. – Romy

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